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Welcome to the Time Price Analysis Blog. Here you will find articles and analysis from our experts on some of the trends we are following and the market movements we expect to unfold. If you would like to receive updates when we post new articles then but if you would like to see the data behind our articles then

S&P 500: An Investor And Traders Guide For The Coming Months

Brian Fletcher on 12/07/2019 3 days ago
Summary

The S&P 500 is setting up for extreme moves in 2019.

Extreme machinations in price offer investors opportunities for extreme profits.

Don't be afraid to exit positions and don't suffer from the "fear of missing out" syndrome.

In this article, I'll discuss the two primary paths for the coming machinations in the S&P 500 Stock Index and a view of how active investors and traders position to minimize losses and maximize profits.

Let's start with the monthly chart showing the move up off the 2009 low (birds-eye view). What now seems clear is that the SPX has completed Primary Degree Wave 3 at the high seen on October 3, 2018, and is presently in a corrective 3-wave structure to lower levels, with our ultimate expectation for a move to the 2,245-2,094 region to complete Primary Degree Wave 4 before heading to new all-time highs.

Our immediate expectation is that so long as SPX remains over 2,570 at all times, then all of the move up - as shown on both the Daily chart and the Daily Alt. chart - will conclude in the 2,731-2,743 regions, with a possibility it concludes in the 2,697-region. For investors taking intermediate positions long in sector ETFs, or futures traders, this is an excellent place to exit long positions. Alternatively, if SPX breaks below 2,570, we'll be looking for a retracement against the move down as an opportunity to exit longs and potentially short the SPX.

Monthly S&P 500 Chart

The question then arises as to whether the move up off the pre-Christmas low is an A-wave of a much larger B, as shown on the Daily Alt. Chart, or is all of a larger X structure, as shown on the Daily chart. While the determination of which count won't be known until we're better able to observe the downside structure, what is reasonable to assume is that for a period of time the index level for both the Daily and Alt counts are setting up for lower levels. The Daily Alt count suggests a move down into the low 2,400-region (2,430 to be precise), to be followed by a C-wave up towards 2,800, and then a massive move to our lower target region. Whereas the Daily count will provide a direct move to 2,245-2,094. This is one of those scenarios we as active investors seek to find, where the two most likely alternatives are pointing in the same direction.

S&P Daily Count

Once we can confirm a short-term high is in place in the SPX and observe the downside structure, we'll be in a better position to "probability weight" which count is more likely. From the standpoint of overall time, the Daily Alt count is preferable, as it will gobble up significantly more time throughout the first half of 2019 and resemble more closely what one would expect of a 4th wave of this magnitude. As we're able to determine the downside structure, it may setup a fantastic long opportunity from the 2,400-region up to the 2,800-region, offering up the potential for an intermediate 17% non-leveraged return, followed by an even more fantastic intermediate short.

S&P 500 Daily Alt. Count

In conclusion, it's very likely the downside in the SPX is not over, but the path to lower levels could prove difficult for active investors and traders. Taking profits and looking for reasonable areas of support to re-enter long or short positions can offer tremendous returns. Simply holding out and going along for the ride is not an approach to realizing gains through a 4th wave of this magnitude. Cash is a position too, and exiting at key points and awaiting lower levels to take long-term positions should be the course for most long-term investors.

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Bitcoin - Hold On - The Ride's Just Starting Part 2

Brian Fletcher on 19/12/2018 208 days ago
Summary

Bitcoin has hit the Buy Zone!

Don't get caught up in the fundamentals of digital currencies, it's just a trade.

4 steps to huge returns, but keep exposure small, it won't take much capital to make huge returns.

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Bitcoin Elliott Wave & Fibonacci Charts & Video 30th Nov. 2018

Mike Richards on 30/11/2018 227 days ago

Bit Coin Charts & Morning Update & Video

Bit coin has now completed a full five wave move down off the Sub Minuette Degree b Wave high seen on 4th September. The move down should be the Micro Degree Wave 1 of the Sub Minuette Degree wave C and the subsequent upside reversal is the Micro Degree Wave 2.

Bitcoin has turned up strongly off the low seen last week to stick save ihe Sub Micro Degree Wave (c) of the Micro Degree Wave 2 and has since hit the target zone shown in the 60 & 240 Minute Chart and reversed lower thus likely completing this Micro Degree Wave 2 Looking for Bit Coin to conform this now by taking out 6170 then 6134 next...

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Gold: History Is Repeating Itself - Time To Listen To The Buy Bell

Brian Fletcher on 29/11/2018 228 days ago
Summary

A clear correlation in gold price now to that of the 1970s.

The time for investors to take action is nigh upon us now.

Industry consolidation is a tell tale sign of a sector low.

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S&P 500 Elliott Wave & Fibonacci Charts & Video Update

Mike Richards on 27/11/2018 230 days ago

ES Charts & Morning Update

The recent low in the ES at 2605 came just shy of hitting the 1.00 extension at ES 2600 for the entire move down off the recent ATH. Since that low we have now seen ES make a strong move to the upside. IF we have now seen the swing low for this move down in the ES then we now need to see it clear the resistance zone (2770 - 2862) shown in the Daily Chart .Below there 2824 is the key pivot now in the ES and while we are below that level we can still see further declines into the support zone shown in the 60 Minute chart.

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Crude (CL) & Natural Gas (NG) Elliott Wave & Fibonacci Charts & Video

Mike Richards on 16/11/2018 241 days ago

NG has continued to push gradually higher after the large gap up the other week. We have now reached the 123.6% for the a to C wave relationship in the Wave V of what looks to be a diagonal structure. We will need to see a full 5 wave move down with a subsequent retrace and follow through lower before a local high can be considered in and then assess the next move lower for likely levels. It is now more likely that this entire move up is the Minor Degree Wave A of the larger Degree Wave (3) (See daily Chart) and that the next move down will therefore be corrective.

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Bitcoin Elliott Wave & Fibonacci Charts & Video Update

Mike Richards on 08/11/2018 249 days ago

Bit Coin Charts & Morning Update:


Bit coin has now completed a full five wave move down off the Sub Minuette Degree b Wave high seen on 4th September. The move down should be the Micro Degree Wave 1 of the Sub Minuette Degree wave C and the subsequent upside reversal is the Micro Degree Wave 2

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EURUSD Charts & Updated Elliott Wave & Fibonacci with Video

Mike Richards on 05/11/2018 252 days ago

EURUSD Charts & Morning Update

With the continued move higher in the EURUSD it is now un clear if we are still in a Minuette Degree wave (IV) with the Minuette Degree wave (5) sill ahead to complete all of the Minute Degree Wave 1 down off the February 2018 high OR we are now in the Minute Degree Wave II back up already with the Minute Degree wave 1 having completed at the August 15th low. 

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S&P 500 (ES) Elliott Wave & Fibonacci Charts & Video

Mike Richards on 31/10/2018 257 days ago

ES Charts & Morning Update

On Monday the ES came up to the 1.00 extension in an A B C structure off last weeks low and then reversed down to make an new local low. That low came just shy of hitting the 1.00 extension at ES 2600 for the entire move down off the recent ATH. Since that low we have now seen ES make a strong move to the upside. IF we have now seen the swing low for this move down in the ES the we now need to see it clear the resistance zones shown in the 60 Minute Charts.

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Silver Vs. Gold In The Next Move Up - How To Maximize Performance From The Sector

Brian Fletcher on 24/10/2018 264 days ago

Summary

Gold, silver and miners are setting up for huge upside potential.

Silver will outpace gold in the next move up.

Silver miners should be part of your miners portfolio.

Upside price targets for both silver and gold.

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Gold GC Elliott Wave & Fibonacci Charts & Video 23rd Oct 2018

Mike Richards on 23/10/2018 265 days ago

Gold (GC) Charts & morning Update

GC pushed strongly higher last week thus confirming that the Minuette Degree Wave (IV) is still in progress and that we are seeing the Sub Minuette Degree Wave c up towards 1238-1242 area.  Once this move up completes we should then see GC turn back down in the Minuette Degree Wave (V) of Minor Degree Wave 2 down to the 1149 target level (See Daily Chart). 

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S&P 500 (ES) Charts & Video - Elliott Wave & Fibonacci 22nd Oct 2018

Mike Richards on 22/10/2018 266 days ago

ES Charts & Morning Update:

The recent strong move to the downside has removed any possibility of an immediate impulse count higher in the ES and considering the continued downside price action has now made the smaller ending diagonal count where this move lower would count as the C Wave of the IV very unlikely. IF we still have higher levels to come in the ES before we see the start of a much larger correction then the recent low counts as the bottom of an A Wave down of a larger Wave II within an even larger Ending Diagonal Pattern in the ES. 

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Bitcoin Charts & Video Update Oct 16th 2018

Mike Richards on 16/10/2018 272 days ago
Bit Coin put in an all time low back in August 2010 at 0.03 relative to the US Dollar. From there we have seen a spectacular rise in both the price and the euphoric sentiment attached to this relatively new instrument and indeed Crypto Currencies in general. The sentiment crescendo d into late last year when Bit Coin reached an all time high of 19918 before commencing a complex multi month correction which has thus far seen this Major Crypto Currency trade as low as 5525. While this has lead to many becoming disillusioned and even calling for the imminent demise of this emerging sector there are as many still expecting further meteoric rises.
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Natural Gas NG Charts and Video 9th Oct 2018

Mike Richards on 09/10/2018 279 days ago

In looking at these extensions up in NG, I think it's trying for a price target of 3.453.  Supportive of this is - 1. It's the 3.618 extension for the (c) wave, a common fib for NG, as shown on the 60 minute chart; 2.  It's slightly over the .786 retrace, which I've noticed that NG does a lot - spikes just over the .786; 3.  It lines up as a spike just over where the (Y) wave is 1.382 x the (W) wave; and 4.  The overall 1.382 for the larger (Y) wave lines up spot on the overall .886 retrace level.

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Gold GC Charts and Video 8th Oct 2018

Mike Richards on 08/10/2018 280 days ago

Gold (GC) Charts & morning Update

If GC can remain below the recent high at 1215.8 and continue lower then we are in the final Minuette Degree Wave (V) of Minor Degree Wave 2 down to the 1149 target level (See Daily Chart). Above 1221.3 then  we are in the ALT Minuette Degree Wave (IV). I have shown the sub wave structure based on the idea that we are going to see higher levels in GC in the ALT 4 count before resuming lower. 

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S&P 500 (ES) Charts & Video

Mike Richards on 05/10/2018 283 days ago

ES Charts & Morning Update

ES futures are trading flat so far this morning. Yesterday we saw the ES drop sharply in the Sub Micro Degree Wave (c) of Micro Degree Wave 2. ES reached just shy of the 76.4% retrace of Micro Degree Wave 1 and then bounced strongly into the close gaining 26 points up off the days low. 

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Bit Coin BTC Charts & Video

Mike Richards on 02/10/2018 286 days ago

Bit Coin Charts & Morning Update:

Bit coin has now completed a full five wave move down off the Sub Minuette Degree b Wave high seen on 4th September. The move down should be the Micro Degree Wave 1 of the Sub Minuette Degree wave C and the subsequent upside reversal is the Micro Degree Wave 2.

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S&P 500 Targets - The Grind Up Continues

Brian Fletcher on 28/09/2018 290 days ago

Summary

Upside targets for the S&P 500.

Don't overstay your welcome.

Alternative investment ideas for when the downside comes.

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Natural Gas NG Charts & Video

Mike Richards on 26/09/2018 292 days ago

NG Charts & Morning Update

NG has now pushed up and taken out the high seen back in June 2018 thus invalidating the immediate downside count. Looking up a little further now to complete the full 5 wave structure off the low seen on 10th September to complete a higher Minute Degree Wave B before we then start the Minute Degree C

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DJIA (YM) - Dow Jones Charts & Video

Mike Richards on 25/09/2018 293 days ago

DJIA (YM) Charts & Update

The YM came up and hit the 123.6% extension at Fridays high for the completion of the Micro Degree Wave 3 and has since pulled back slightly in the Micro Degree Wave 4. Looking for the YM to remain above 25563 and then push higher towards the 161.8% extension next at 27171 in the Micro Degree Wave 5 which will then also complete all of the Sub Minuette Degree Wave iii.

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ES (E-Mini) Charts with Elliott Wave Counts & Video

Mike Richards on 24/09/2018 294 days ago

The ES looks about to break out in the continuation of the Minuette Degree Wave (iii) of the Minute Degree Wave III within the Minor Degree 5th Wave up off the April Lows (See daily Chart). Looking at the 240 & 60 Minute Charts i am looking for the ES to take out yesterdays high at 2919.25 and grind up towards the 2983 area next in the Micro Degree Wave 3.

Yesterday we did indeed see the ES breakout in the Micro Degree Wave 3

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Gold - GC Charts & Update

Mike Richards on 17/09/2018 301 days ago

Gold (GC) Charts & Update:

GC now has a leading diagonal down for the i of 5, a deep ii back followed by a micro 1, 2 down. Looking for GC to remain below 1218 and continue lower from here. See this morning's charts and video below. 

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ES - S&P 500 - Elliott Wave Charts & Video

Mike Richards on 13/09/2018 305 days ago

ES Charts & Update:

Now looking for the rest of the 5th up towards 2809 in this leading diagonal before we then see a pullback in the 2.

Login or start your Free Trial to see the Day Trade Chart for ES and access all of our in-depth charts, Elliott Wave setups, Fibonacci Levels, Hurst Cycles, and more including our Live Trading Room where you watch our screens as we trade live and show you the market direction in real time. 

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Crude Oil Elliott Wave Counts, Charts, and Video

Mike Richards on 12/09/2018 306 days ago

CL Charts & Morning Update:

CL has now moved up strongly from the recent low in what looks to be an unfolding impulse as shown in the 15 & 60 Minute Charts. Looking for the final 5th up to complete all of the Wave (1) of the larger degree C of 5 (Daily Chart).

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S&P Breakout Target Levels And Timing - How And When To Rotate For Exceptional Returns

Brian Fletcher on 07/09/2018 311 days ago

Summary

  • Timing and target levels for the S&P 500 Stock Index.
  • Cash is an investment choice as well.
  • Two alternatives for great returns during an overall correction in the S&P 500 Stock Index.
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German DAX Charts & Morning Update

Mike Richards on 06/09/2018 312 days ago
German DAX Futures are trading lower again in pre-market this morning. The DAX has now come down very deep against the move up into the May 22nd high and yesterday hit the 78.6% retracement of that move up. The next Fibonacci levels support is at 11887. Looking for the DAX to turn back up and then trade over 12400 in order to confirm that this is the Minuette Degree Wave (ii). The invalidation level for this count in the DAX is at 11723. The charts with the Elliott Wave Counts and Fibonacci levels are below for multiple time frames as well as the segmet from the Pre US Open Video outlining the day for the DAX and UKX (FTSE).
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Natural Gas – Short Term Downside Setup At Hand

Brian Fletcher on 05/09/2018 313 days ago

Natural Gas has offered numerous opportunities for traders and investors alike this year. This past Friday we (at Time Price Analysis) recommended shares of DGAZ to our subscribers at $21.28, and now have a break even stop with no risk in the trade. For futures traders, NG setup the perfect entry as well.

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Bit Coin Charts & Morning Update

Mike Richards on 03/09/2018 315 days ago
BitCoin complete the Sub Micro Degree Wave (4) and then pushed up in the Sub Micro Degree Wave (5) and hit the 61.8% retrace fib at the bottom of our target zone for the possible completion of all of the sub minuette degree b Wave and has now turned lower. Confirmation that we are now in the Sub Minuette Degree Wave C (See daily Chart) would be a break of last weeks low at 6818 followed by a break of 5891. 
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SSRM Mining – Fundamentally and Technically a Strong Buy

Brian Fletcher on 30/08/2018 319 days ago

In my last article entitled
“Metals and Miners: The Wolf is Close This Time”, I discussed that both the precious metals and precious metals mining sectors are setting up for an enormous move higher in 2019. 
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S&P 500 Upside Breakout - Don't Lose your Core Positions - Yet!

Brian Fletcher on 30/08/2018 319 days ago
A lot of traders and investors hear the term “Breakout” and wonder what it means.  Intuitively, we know it means that the market has broken through some type of upside resistance.  To use an analogy, imagine a building with three floors, where the market is on the first floor, attempting to break through the ceiling of the 2nd floor. Once it does actually break through what is the ceiling of the first floor and is now on the 2nd floor, the downside support now becomes the 2nd story floor, and the upside becomes the 2nd story ceiling.  
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EUR:USD Charts and Updates

Mike Richards on 24/08/2018 325 days ago

EURUSD Charts & Morning Update:

Yesterday we saw this pair turn back down from just below the invalidation level marked in the 240 & 60 Minute Charts. The recent high should ideally be the top of the Wave IV in an unfolding ending diagonal to complete the Minuette Degree Wave (v) which will then  complete all of the Minute Degree Wave 1 down off the February high. Should we see the EUR:USD take out the invalidation level at 1.1627 then the Minute Degree Wave 1 is already complete at the low seen on 15th August and this move up is part of the Minuette Degree A Wave of the Minute Degree wave 2. 

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The S&P Cash Market Is In The Target Zone

Mike Richards on 21/08/2018 328 days ago
The S&P 500 Cash market has made a marginal new all time high intraday today and in doing so is now in our target zone for the completion of the wave i of iii of 3 up from the recent lows. We should now see a 3 wave correction down toward the lower target zone shown in the 15 minute chart before the next larger upside swing commences. 
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Metals And Miners: The Wolf Is Close This Time

Brian Fletcher on 21/08/2018 328 days ago

Summary

Buy zones for Gold, GDX, and HUI and the importance of patience.

Technical indicators match up perfectly with fundamentals for individual mining stocks.

Big upside vs. really big upside – from the standpoint of going long, does it matter right now?

Strategy for positioning capital for the next leg up.

Seabridge Gold's technical and fundamental aspects afford enormous upside potential.

This will be the first in a series of 3 articles over the next 3 weeks. In this article I’ll discuss the overall Technical buy zones and upside potential for both gold and the precious metals mining sector. In the following two articles I’ll feature the fundamental and technical analysis for 2 of the 20 miners we have narrowed down as candidates for a strategic portfolio of miners.

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Precious Metals & Miners Update (Video)

Mike Richards on 20/08/2018 329 days ago

Watch our Metals & Miners in-depth review of Gold, Silver, HUI, GDX & limited info regarding our Strategic Miners Portfolio on our YouTube Channel. Start your 14-day FREE trial of Time Price Analysis to see all of the details on our Strategic Miners Portfolio. 

Metals & Miners Video Review

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Natural Gas – The Gift that Keeps on Giving

Brian Fletcher on 09/07/2018 371 days ago

Whether you’re an active investor who manages their investment capital for exceptional performance, or a trader who seeks to generate weekly and monthly profits, natural gas is a phenomenal tool to help you to achieve your goals. 

There are a number of ways to trade in Natural Gas – ETF’s (i.e. UNG), leveraged ETF’s (i.e. DGAZ and UGAZ), and Natural Gas futures.  While we trade NG futures on a daily basis in our live trading room, our active investor subscribers are up an astonishing 38.74% thus far in 2018 in NG, resulting from only 4 individual trades lasting an average of 2 weeks each.

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FedEx Corporation: High Confidence Technical Chart Setup

Mike Richards on 18/05/2018 423 days ago

Brian Fletcher, one of our TPA Analysts, published an article outlining our expectations for FedEx Corporation with an entry in the $215 - $221 region and a move up to $353.

Here is an excerpt from his article and the chart for FDX:

"In simple terms, we are looking for an entry into FDX in the $215 - $221 region for a move up to $353 during the Miner degree wave 5. That’s 64% of upside during a period we expect a 28% increase in the S&P 500, and one we expect will take no more than 6 – 12 months to realize as both FDX and the S&P conclude their Intermediate Degree wave (3)."

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“Buy” in May and Go Away – S&P 500 Targets and Timing

Mike Richards on 23/04/2018 448 days ago

The well-known trading adage “Sell in May and Go Away” warns investors to sell equities in May to avoid seasonal declines, but not in 2018.  This year, according to our Elliott Wave and Hurst Cycles analysis, investors and traders alike should prepare a shopping list of individual stocks to go long in the coming weeks – we have!

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Walt Disney Company (DIS) Poised for Huge Upside

Mike Richards on 04/04/2018 467 days ago

In my last article – (Wish List of Stocks for S&P500 Move to 3,200), I provided a small list of the many companies we have identified for our subscribers that will significantly outperform the S&P500 in its anticipated move up to the 3,200 region later this year. 

While in an era of Bitcoin and FANG stocks, Walt Disney Company (SYM:DIS) may not seem like the most glamorous stock to own, insomuch making huge profits are glamorous, Disney way more than qualifies, and given the right entry into the stock, affords investors a rare opportunity indeed.

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Stock Watch

Mike Richards on 03/04/2018 468 days ago

In my last article – (S&P500 – Don’t Believe the Doom and Gloom – YET!), I summarized in detail my expectations for this miner degree 4th wave corrective move in the S&P 500 Index to the 2470 – 2430 area, with an outside chance it could reach as low as the 2333 area.  I suggested the next move higher into the November, 2018 time frame should provide for an approximate 30% increase in the S&P500, resulting in a move to the region of 3,200 – 3,300.

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S&P500 Still Has Higher To Go

Mike Richards on 02/04/2018 469 days ago

As I read through various articles over the weekend, there is a certain doom and gloom crowd starting to resurface.   As is true in every bull markets, bears continue to cry “wolf” so many times that investor’s become complacent from their inaccuracy, only to miss the opportunity to exit equities near a meaningful high.  By combining both our Elliott Wave and Hurst Timing analysis, the time to cry “wolf” isn’t now, but will most likely occur later this year in the November timeframe, at which time our expectation of an 18-month correction that will then set the platter for another meaningful move higher from those corrective lows. Allow me to explain.

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Where Next for the US Markets

Mike Richards on 24/02/2018 506 days ago
The S&P 500 Stock Index has given us a welcome pullback in recent weeks and re introduced some polity back into the markets.
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